England are set to face five-time winners Brazil in the final of the World Cup in Russia, according to forecasts by Goldman Sachs.
The bank has been using a predictive model to pick a winner at the summer showpiece. Simulating 1million variations, it initially picked Brazil to beat Germany in the final on July 15.
But after England's flying start to the tournament, and Germany's struggles in their first two matches, Goldman's team have changed their minds.
Now, England are predicted to beat Colombia and Mexico in the last-16 and quarter-finals, respectively, before overcoming Spain in the last-four.
Brazil, meanwhile, are forecast to come past Germany, Belgium and then France in the semi-finals.
'For England fans who might find themselves daring to dream, our updated model predictions might constitute a beacon of hope,' analysts told Business Insider on Monday.
'We continue to predict that Belgium will top Group G, ahead of England, using the unrounded goal difference as the tie-breaker on points. After a projected victory over Colombia in the Round of 16, we now expect England to meet Mexico in the quarter-finals, rather than meeting Germany.
'This tips the outcome in England's favour, as they are projected to defeat Mexico, before overcoming Spain — just — in the semi-finals. In turn, this would set up a Brazil-England final on 15 July (though those hoping for an England victory should look away now).'
Despite their last-gasp victory over Sweden last time out, Germany are not fancied to go beyond the last-16 – where they are set to face Brazil.
Should Goldman's predictions be correct, England will enjoy their best major tournament since they won the World Cup in 1996.
Brazil, meanwhile, would win the competition for the sixth time and the first since 2002, with Germany suffering their worst tournament since 1978.
There is a caveat, however, with Goldman adding: 'As the tournament heats up, the winning margins are becoming wafer thin, especially for England. This is reflected in the winning probabilities, which capture a sense of how easy the path to the final will be for each country.
'On this score, France still commands the greatest chance of winning, given that we expect more decisive results in the knockout stages... The four most probable winners are (in descending order) France, Brazil, Belgium and England.'
Gareth Southgate's side have taken maximum points from their World Cup games so far. They needed a last-gasp Harry Kane header to beat Tunisia, before recording their biggest ever World Cup win against Panama on Sunday.
Abbas Salim
0
If England reaches the final as predicted due to beating Panama who celebrated a goal against them as a great achievement then surely deserve to win the world cup !
Rabblnpsy
2
now i believe in Argentina [goahead][goahead][goahead]
XproGamer
1
Just because Brazil win 2-0 and England win 6-1 to panama...let see if they can beat Belgium shall we?
Jengsalla66
1
Brazil will be crowned champions of this FIFA World Cup. ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽
LOVE-HURTS
3
HI, @AFers-FRIENDS IF THIS IS IT? THAT MEANT @CHAMPION-2018-ENGLAND-THIS-IS-NOT-DREAM-THIS IS THE OUTCOME OF THE@THREE-LIONS AND WITH@SOUTHGATE-GOLDEN-YOUNG-TEAM-OF-THE-@FIFA-WORLD-CUP-2018- BUT FIRST LET THE@BELGIUM-SIDE-AND @YOU-WILL-KNOW-AFTER?
venu1
2
nor Brazil neither England will be in the final
juanfrias
1
Lol, England fans will be taken down to earth when they get smacked
emmaboat00
1
belgium usually be beat england there is no doubt about that
Togo7047453
0
Portugal VS Mexique
maharjansujit
1
1966* don't give wrong informations. England won the world cup in 1966 not 1996.
Huoaen
1
with so much expectation from their end, here i rest my support for England...not because of the players but due to the EXTREME expectations and the SUPERIOR ATTITUDE over others by those pundits and the so called match PREDICTION by few
Huoaen
2
Is this a Joke? England thrashing Panama 6-1 go gaga for those pundits and PREDICTION favouring as the best team. For heaven's sake Panama is a debutant in this world cup and lowly rank....It is rather shocked to pass judgment with one or two game disregarding the power house teams with so much talents to explore....
numabckmsz
1
Argentina still got chances dude..
Catherineheap23
0
How I wish this would this would come true.
PsailaMiguel
0
And they are saying that there is no pressure on the team this year. Hahaha so beating Panama and Tunisia they are world class so why Belgium isn’t? They beat the same teams aswell
dabckru
0
Brazil Belgium Final
Fuuarz
1
Brazil will bang the world soon.. get ready Rest of the world
roedemr
3
does england have mental doctors?
maybe they forgot to take their medecine ..lol
Zoabioptuz
0
Argentina or Nigeria V Brazil in final , note it
wukikmnouy
0
Blacknight8235
1
England has not been tested by any of the world top footballing nations as yet in this World Cup , in the knock out stage we will see what they are capable of
Libertking
3
does england have mental doctors?
cranklad
3
not gonna watch porn for...1 week ..pinky promise😒
Switzerland1027913
1
That’s to much believe for now, I like England team but they not play yet against a team of big statues for sure not Panama or Tunisia .the defense had not be tested yet Belgium can do that but both are in no reason to put some players at risk.
Ghana9081329
0
when England meet their metre in Belgium and in the quarters,that is where we will see the real men
Dikelnps
0
England ar mediocre
Dikelnps
0
Fake
Rahbir
0
Of course they are!! Look at the world class teams England has beaten so far at this world cup Hahaha... Might aswell just hand them the trophy now
macaneey7
0
macaneey7
2
the final gotta be Belgium and Portugal
Simonkassis
2
HATEGEKIMANA
1
they are always overrated.
wismtu
0
the final is gotta be Mexico vs Portugal
Paanowis
1
England hasn’t played any tough opposition yet so let’s wait for them to play Belgium let’s see if they can perform as they started
Elsa98
2
Our mentality is to win every game we play and we want to win every game. I feel that if we win every game it just keeps building momentum to keep going in the tournament!
Come on england, we can do it!! [goahead]
ibrahim345
2
No it's Argentina Brazil final!!
Baapu56
0
Now this what is called jumping the gun out of excitement. England have played two lowly teams until now and won. But then fans would be fans, England are going to lose to Belgium and if you think they are going to face Colombia in round 16, I don’t think they will win against the Colombians (they are pretty good this time).
rawbklnuyz
1
funny pple, quarter finals, that's your place
hekabenuyz
2
I doubt whether England can beat both Mexico and Colombia. But I would wish the team!! good luck pleas!!!
FistonShuraim
1
the hype as usual. England can't beat Croatia. They would be out If they ever happen to be drawn against The hungry Germany..
Brunoso
1
Ways expect the worse and hope for the best win win situation. Im behind our boys 100% and the good thing about this tornament was that there wasnt any expectations of the team. But now the media are doing what they always do and set them up for a fall.
citizens
2
SERIOUSLY!!! I am rooting for England as well but come on get a grip. If West Ham put six past Lincoln will they automatically become hot favourites for the league title? CALM DOWN!!!
ironide
0
against Panama and Tunisia lol England is actually dreaming let see them against Belgium
Christiansmo
0
Tunisia and Panama. They are world beaters all of the sudden. They will never learn.
ukulele
1
if you can also let me have the lottery numbers for saturday, that`d be great.
gramme
0
hope England do go all the way but lets see how they fair against Belgium first before we get carried away
effectives
0
If Brazil were called something else nobody would pay them any attention at all. They've been one of the worst teams at the tournament in a weak group.
donjim306
1
Easy said than done, you can't use mouth to put meat in your soup
iKingstonkiss
0
I'd take a final appearance. You never know in a final, It would also be great for England, for the economy, for the people ext! Would also be amazing to see towns and cities decorated up like they do when the local side get to an FA Cup Final. It would look wonderful! A possible return to the "London 2012" feeling most of us got!
Carybary
0
Never write off the Germans. There know how to play rubbish but always end up in the last 4 somehow. Come on England!!!!!