Opta supercomputer reveals favourites to winUCL after running 10,000 simulations

Opta's supercomputer has run the numbers and spat out Arsenal as the favourites to win the Champions League.

The Gunners, who soared past holders Real Madrid 5-1 on aggregate at the Bernabeu on Wednesday night, have been given a 28.7 percent chance of lifting the trophy.

With the Premier League title almost officially gone and all remaining focus on Europe, Arsenal look in formidable shape ahead of the final four.

Mikel Arteta's side set up a semi-final against high-flying PSG and the supercomputer ranks the French outfit as the third favourites to win it all at 24 percent having slipped past Aston Villa 5-4 on aggregate.

Somewhat surprisingly, Inter Milan, beaten finalists of two years ago, are second favourites at 25.5 percent.

And LaLiga leaders Barcelona trail the other three with a 21.8 percent chance of winning their sixth crown.

The margins for all four sides are extremely close with only seven percent separating Barcelona and Arsenal, who could meet in the final as a repeat of the 2006 showpiece.

The supercomputer calculates the percentage chance of each side winning the competition by combining betting odds and Opta power rankings.

Those are based on historical and recent team performances and then fed into a model 10,000 times to produce a result.

Before the quarter-finals, Barcelona were given the best chance of the last eight teams to win the Champions League but now find themselves bottom of the pile.

Hansi Flick's free-scoring team dominated Borussia Dortmund at the Nou Camp but showed their frailties in the return leg, losing 3-1 and that performance appears to have altered the supercomputer's mechanics significantly.

Arsenal fans will perhaps be wary of the favourites tag given the club's barren history in the competition but the performances home and away against the 15-time champions does feel like a huge milestone.

Declan Rice's two brilliant free-kicks and Mikel Merino's curling effort gave the north London side a commanding three goal lead to take to Spain.

And for all the talk of a remontada (comeback), Carlo Ancelotti's men hardly threatened the steely opposition defence.

Jude Bellingham and Co were outfought and outthought on the night, with Bukayo Saka making amends for his missed paneka penalty to dink home the opener.

Vinicius Jr pounced on William Saliba to equalise moments later before Gabriel Martinelli raced away late on to put the icing on the cake with the winner to stun an already flat capacity crowd.

Arsenal's first leg against PSG comes on Tuesday, April 29 and the Barcelona game against Inter takes place the following evening at the Nou Camp.