We should now be on the home straight and the finish line should be coming into view.
Instead, we find ourselves in early April and it is not possible to predict when the 2019/20 Premier League campaign will reach its conclusion.
With the brakes firmly on the season for the foreseeable future, data and statistical specialists Opta decided to run a simulator to predict how the rest of the season could pan out.
To get a final league table, Opta had to carry out numerous different tasks to reach a conclusion.
Firstly, they had to make an estimation for the outcome of each and every one of the Premier League's remaining fixtures, which is based on a team's attacking and defensive qualities, which are based on four years of historic restyle, though more weighting is given to more recent fixtures.
The next step is to take into account the quality of the opposition that a team scores or concedes against and rewards them accordingly. To do this, Opta used goal predictions from the possession distribution with the two teams' attacking and defending qualities as inputs.
Finally, they ran the simulation 10,000 times to estimate the chances of each team finishing in each league position in the table.
Their findings, unsurprisingly, suggested that Liverpool, who have won all but two of their league matches this season, would be crowned Premier League champions, securing the title with a record points tally of 101, with their nearest challengers, Manchester City, finishing in second place on 80 points.
The final Premier League table based on Opta's simulation:
1st: Liverpool - 101 pts
2nd: Manchester City - 80 pts
3rd: Leicester City - 67 pts
4th: Chelsea - 63 pts
--------------------------------------
5th: Manchester United - 61 pts
6th: Tottenham Hotspur - 58 pts
7th: Wolverhampton Wanderers - 56 pts
8th: Arsenal - 56 pts
9th: Sheffield United - 55 pts
10th: Everton - 50 pts
11th: Burnley - 49 pts
12th: Crystal Palace - 49 pts
13th: Newcastle United - 46 pts
14th: Southampton - 44 pts
15th: West Ham United - 39 pts
16th: Brighton & Hove Albion - 37 pts
17th: Watford - 36 pts
--------------------------------------
18th: Bournemouth - 36 pts
19th: Aston Villa - 32 pts
20th: Norwich City - 29 pts
Kesbdkopu
0
Manchester United 72 point s
Didiklnt
0
arsenal will finish 4th in the EPL this season
do you really know Arsenal?
cipabemstz
0
arsenal will finish 4th in the EPL this season
cipabemstz
0
i see the changes tht arteta has on arsenal squard in every game since he came to london......
lord_henry-14
1
Stupid analysis!![Crylaugh] (1) Man Utd wil comfortably n convicingly finish on n#3 spot trust me n wil also lift the Europa League trophy🏆
(2) Don't underrate Shefield United, Chris Wilder's men wil finish above Mourinho, Arteta, n Espirito
Here is my end of season table;
1 Liverpool = 98 pnts
2 Man City = 81 pnts
3 Man Utd = 68 pnts
4 Leicester City = 64 pnts
5 Chelsea = 62 pnts
6 Shefield United = 61 pnts
7 Wolves = 59 pnts
8 Arsenal = 57 pnts
9 Everton = 56 pnts
10 Burnley = 53 pnts
11 Tottenham Hotspur = 49 pnts
12 Southampton = 47 pnts
13 Crystal Palace = 47 pnts
14 Newcastle = 45 pnts
15 West Ham = 44 pnts
16 Brighton n Hove Albion = 42 pnts
17 Watford = 38 pnts
18 Bournemouth = 35 pnts
19 Aston Villa = 34 pnts
20 Norwich City = 27 pnts
man uts 68 points next joke plzzz
HunterBouy001
1
Lol stop comparing when u r playing in the europa league
At least he's playing EUROPA,what about U playing in CL but still U were knocked out md thrown out of CL like a maize sack
GlaneChlorous
1
instead predict the end of covid19.
WOLVE5
0
Stupid analysis!![Crylaugh] (1) Man Utd wil comfortably n convicingly finish on n#3 spot trust me n wil also lift the Europa League trophy🏆
(2) Don't underrate Shefield United, Chris Wilder's men wil finish above Mourinho, Arteta, n Espirito
Here is my end of season table;
1 Liverpool = 98 pnts
2 Man City = 81 pnts
3 Man Utd = 68 pnts
4 Leicester City = 64 pnts
5 Chelsea = 62 pnts
6 Shefield United = 61 pnts
7 Wolves = 59 pnts
8 Arsenal = 57 pnts
9 Everton = 56 pnts
10 Burnley = 53 pnts
11 Tottenham Hotspur = 49 pnts
12 Southampton = 47 pnts
13 Crystal Palace = 47 pnts
14 Newcastle = 45 pnts
15 West Ham = 44 pnts
16 Brighton n Hove Albion = 42 pnts
17 Watford = 38 pnts
18 Bournemouth = 35 pnts
19 Aston Villa = 34 pnts
20 Norwich City = 27 pnts
Lol stop comparing when u r playing in the europa league
WOLVE5
0
Arsenal 5th
Lol
runblops
0
Opta pls u are wrong
dannyyyyy_
0
Stupid analysis!![Crylaugh] (1) Man Utd wil comfortably n convicingly finish on n#3 spot trust me n wil also lift the Europa League trophy🏆
(2) Don't underrate Shefield United, Chris Wilder's men wil finish above Mourinho, Arteta, n Espirito
Here is my end of season table;
1 Liverpool = 98 pnts
2 Man City = 81 pnts
3 Man Utd = 68 pnts
4 Leicester City = 64 pnts
5 Chelsea = 62 pnts
6 Shefield United = 61 pnts
7 Wolves = 59 pnts
8 Arsenal = 57 pnts
9 Everton = 56 pnts
10 Burnley = 53 pnts
11 Tottenham Hotspur = 49 pnts
12 Southampton = 47 pnts
13 Crystal Palace = 47 pnts
14 Newcastle = 45 pnts
15 West Ham = 44 pnts
16 Brighton n Hove Albion = 42 pnts
17 Watford = 38 pnts
18 Bournemouth = 35 pnts
19 Aston Villa = 34 pnts
20 Norwich City = 27 pnts
lol
MCLBOSS2019
1
I have a question how can man United finish fifth and not teach ucl if city finish second and there banned from playing ucl[Crylaugh]
peucdortuy
1
Arsenal 5th
jezabdnpyz
2
[Crylaugh] Ohhh Opta.., Ohhh Opta.., Beat COVID-1️⃣9️⃣ First.., Then We Shall Talk About This Again.
DaMhztourage
1
Opta , tell me where "estimation has tarried with reality on ground afterwards , then i may consider your fantasies ... moreover you're still predicting Liverpool to win the league which even six months old child knows the tittle is only waiting to be presented when football returns , Utd will shot your mouth by the time league is concluded
Buwkory
1
you no well
fizzbizzie
4
man utd will make top 4.. the ship has been steadied.. while the rest still struggle
maycmoruz
10
Stupid analysis!![Crylaugh] (1) Man Utd wil comfortably n convicingly finish on n#3 spot trust me n wil also lift the Europa League trophy🏆
(2) Don't underrate Shefield United, Chris Wilder's men wil finish above Mourinho, Arteta, n Espirito
Here is my end of season table;
1 Liverpool = 98 pnts
2 Man City = 81 pnts
3 Man Utd = 68 pnts
4 Leicester City = 64 pnts
5 Chelsea = 62 pnts
6 Shefield United = 61 pnts
7 Wolves = 59 pnts
8 Arsenal = 57 pnts
9 Everton = 56 pnts
10 Burnley = 53 pnts
11 Tottenham Hotspur = 49 pnts
12 Southampton = 47 pnts
13 Crystal Palace = 47 pnts
14 Newcastle = 45 pnts
15 West Ham = 44 pnts
16 Brighton n Hove Albion = 42 pnts
17 Watford = 38 pnts
18 Bournemouth = 35 pnts
19 Aston Villa = 34 pnts
20 Norwich City = 27 pnts
Mwene98
2
Good prediction
TajemniczyPl
3
We will play in Ucl 💯
bikcdnpuyz
2
[Crylaugh][Crylaugh][Crylaugh][Crylaugh][Crylaugh][Crylaugh][Crylaugh] I can't laugh, I have a layer in my teeth.
Mwene98
1
They'll be in for a surprise! Come on you Red Devils, prove them wrong! Win Europa league and FA cup to leave them with their tails between their legs!!!!