With Manchester City sitting 22 points adrift of Premier League leaders Liverpool, Pep Guardiola looks set for a summer rebuild.
Last season's treble winners look set to lose their league crown to the Merseysiders in the coming weeks, and Guardiola will no doubt be eager to reconstruct his side to reclaim the title again next season.
As part of the rebuild process, it was reported that as many as seven City squad players could be at risk of being sold in the summer.
This list includes John Stones, Benjamin Mendy, Leroy Sane, Gabriel Jesus, Joao Cancelo, Nicolas Otamendi and Claudio Bravo whose contract ends in the summer.
But of that list, who should City retain and who should they move on, based on their current performance levels?
John Stones
Stones was an integral part of Guardiola's side in the 18 months following his arrival in the summer of 2016.
However, mainly as a result of injuries and faltering form, he has never truly cemented a consistent role across a full season within City's defence since.
Interestingly, looking at the data alone Stones actually ranks as one of the league's top defenders. Of the 69 centre-backs who have played over 800 league minutes this season, he ranks second for the highest success rate in defensive duels, 15th for success in aerial duels and first for pass success rate.
However, he suffers from flaws in areas that are hard to quantify in numbers - such as positioning and concentration. This explains why Guardiola will often leave him out of the starting 11.
Based on the above, it's difficult to gauge what level Stones should be playing at, but his game seems too flawed to be a success at City.
Benjamin Mendy
Having been plagued by injuries, Mendy has suffered a stop-start career at the Etihad. This has given Guardiola multiple selection headaches and often forced him to shoehorn other players into the left-back position.
Yet, even when the French international has been fit he hasn't really produced his best form on a consistent basis. So far this season he has managed just one assist and has a combined Expected Assist (xA) total of just 0.13 per 90. That average ranks well in the division, but is still only on par with the likes of Aston Villa's Matt Targett.
Sometimes, an underrated appealing aspect of a players game is their ability to stay fit for the length of a campaign. Given that Mendy has struggled with this, and isn't producing any remarkable form, it's easy to see why City could look elsewhere in the summer.
Gabriel Jesus
Jesus has been forced to play second-fiddle to Sergio Aguero for the bulk of this season, and most of his City career so far.
Despite this, he can still boast an impressive total of nine league goals for the season - only five Premier League players can boast a better return when you break that figure down to goals per 90.
As demonstrated in the graphic below, he also continues to get himself into good positions in and around the penalty area. However, with a league xG of 13.07, Jesus looks to actually be underperforming in front of goal, converting fewer chances than would be expected.
The above is one of the reasons why questions still remain as to whether he can be Aguero's long-term successor.
Sane's campaign looked over before it started, having picked up a serious knee ligament injury in the Community Shield in August.
Despite not always making the starting XI, the German international highlighted himself as an excellent dribbler who could both score and create goals. He recorded eight league assists and scored ten goals. However, impressively, he scored those ten goals from an xG of just 5.63 - this highlights him as a very accurate finisher.
Whilst injury has hit this season, he is a top talent and still just 24 so City would therefore be wise to keep Sane at all costs in the summer but will have to fend off serious interest from Bayern Munich.
Claudio Bravo
Bravo was signed to be Guardiola's no.1 initially, yet Ederson's arrival after his first season relegated him to No.2. However, due to injuries and suspensions to Ederson, the Chilean international has been relied upon more than would have been expected this season.
This has led him to feature in some big games for City, notably the meeting with Liverpool at Anfield earlier this season. However, based on the data available, the 36-year-old has performed at a below-average level when he has been called upon.
Liverpool have faced similar issues with their no.1 Allison missing key points of their season through injury, yet their no.2 Adrian came in and performed at a decent level, giving the Merseysiders the edge during these moments of adversity.
Whilst Bravo conceded fewer goals, his xG highlights that an average keeper would have been expected to concede around ten goals based on the chances he faced, rather than 14. Adrian, on the other hand, conceded 18 goals but performed in line with his xG of 18.53. The Spanish keeper also made notably more saves per 90 than the City man.
The above highlights the importance of having a no.2 capable of coming in and performing at an average level at very least, otherwise you risk handing a marginal advantage to your rivals, like City have with Liverpool this season.
For this reason, you can expect Guardiola to strengthen this position in the summer.
Joao Cancelo
It may be too soon to write Cancelo off given he has managed just 749 minutes of Premier League action. His unremarkable performances within that short sample size don't do him any favours though.
To date, he isn't excelling in the defensive aspects of the game or the attacking ones either, having failed to register an assist and having posted a combined xA of just 0.73.
Given that he cost Β£60million, there will be a disappointment that he has failed to dislodge Kyle Walker from right-back, or pose enough pressure to his starting position. It would be understandable if City chose to cut their losses on this one in the summer if the right offer presents itself.
Nicolas Otamendi
Due to the injury sustained to Aymeric Laporte, City have been forced to play Fernandinho - a midfielder - in defence for the bulk of the season, yet it's his regular defensive partner Otamendi that has often been branded as the weak link in the side. Analysis of his numbers this season exhibits why this may be the case.
From the same 69-player sample referenced earlier when assessing Stones, Otamendi ranks 59th for defensive duels won and 45th for aerial duels won. He ranks behind only Stones in terms of his pass success rate but his faults in other aspects of the game make him a problem for Guardiola.
Given he is performing at a below-average level, it would probably be best for both parties if he moved away from the Etihad in the summer.
FootballGuru
0
So you want to sell Gundogan, a great midfielder, and keep Mendy? That's ridiculous, he is not a good defender. You won't bring in Messi. Also, why on Earth do you want to play Mendy at CB when he can't defend?
Gundogan is slow when opponents counter and can't defend. It's not about keeping Mendy but like i wrote monitore him untill June and if it diesn't work out sell him. If Mendy couldn't defend why did Pep do everything to bring him in and for Β£52 mill, he was unlucky to get injured for such a long time and even setbacks. About Messi it probably won't happen but you never know and reuniting with Pep would be the best if in case he leaves, just saying.
C0YS
0
Otamendi, Stones, Bravo, Gundogan and David Silva can be sold but Benjamin Mendy is a great defender but must be monitored untill june. Koulibaly or Skrinair and Alaba versatile player(can play LWB or CB or CM) problem solved.
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So you want to sell Gundogan, a great midfielder, and keep Mendy? That's ridiculous, he is not a good defender. You won't bring in Messi. Also, why on Earth do you want to play Mendy at CB when he can't defend?
FootballGuru
0
Otamendi, Stones, Bravo, Gundogan and David Silva can be sold but Benjamin Mendy is a great defender but must be monitored untill june. Koulibaly or Skrinair and Alaba versatile player(can play LWB or CB or CM) problem solved.
sythen
0
you say it like u re d one sponsoring d purchase
even if im not the one sponcering but city could still buy all these players if they are willing
KevinWilliams21
1
Not a city fan but sell Sane and that attack threat fear of playing against city will go to the way side
SolomonEscober
0
Bravo & otamendi should be sold & kolibaly mbape isco coutinho oblack and nathan ake should be bought
you say it like u re d one sponsoring d purchase
ham11official
2
inter Milan will buy stones conte will turn him into a beast of a defender mark my words.
YAYACITY
2
FAKE AS IN FAKE
Cutilrstyz
2
Oatmendi needs to go and Koulibaly in
bbirakwate
3
Leroy Sane, Gabriel Jesus and Mendy should stay
Mike100
2
I think G. Jesus , Cancelo and Sane should remain whereas the rest of the four players be allowed to go
FTTE611
2
Gundogan out plz. To some extent , fighting spirit is more important.I'm fed up with his figure management and defensive motivation
sythen
3
Bravo & otamendi should be sold & kolibaly mbape isco coutinho oblack and nathan ake should be bought
Vendakid
1
stones will never be sold π€¦πΎββοΈcoz of the home grown stuff and in cancelo's place we all know no one ever did well at their first season at city e.g b.silva,mahrezz
bibdlmot
1
STONES AND OTAMENDI and in fact all our defenders are suffering from a severe lack of confidence due to LAPORTES INJURY AND NOT REPLACING VINCENT KOMPANY BEFORE LETTING HIM LEAVE which has led to far to much tinkering with the defence by PEP all this combined with constant pointed and targeted negativity by media has taken a huge toll on the personal confidence of our defenders ALL OF WHOM WERE PART OF AND PLAYED A MAJOR ROLL IN MCFC ABSOLUTELY FANTASTIC BRILLIANT AND SUPERB ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE PREVIOUS CONSECUTIVE RECORD BREAKING SEASONS INCLUDING THE ONE AND ONLY DOMESTIC TREBLE πππ SO THANK YOU JOHN STONES THANKYOU NICO OTAMENDI FOR YOUR ABSOLUTELY FANTASTIC BRILLIANT AND SUPERB CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE AMAZING RECORD BREAKING ACHIEVEMENTS OF MCFC ππ₯β½οΈππi also feel especially in NICO OTAMENDIS CASE that defenders often take the blame for poor defensive midfield play and back passes!!! MENDY unfortunately has flopped maybe due to his injuries and I also feel that STERLING is vastly overrated and has underperformed this season I feel GABRIEL JESUS is a far superior stronger and more tenacious player and should be starting far more often with and without AGUEROOOOOO I also feel PEP could be a little more consistent with our BEST eleven which would lead to increased personal and team confidence on and off the pitch week in week out ...!ππC. T. I. D.
Satdlnoyz
2
otamendi out
wiuaemou
1
this writing is crap
Bibek-Koirala
1
thank stones for ur kindness
BayuPermanaPutra
1
you cant let any defender out unless you have replacement. I dont think stones will out since he can fill the homegrown slot
Mokekrt
1
Why the person called autty one of the allfootball authors always writes negetive news about City?π€
Pusnrstz
1
Stones n Otamendi out?
MelMelWeah
1
Stones, Otamedi and Bravo out I really hate seeing these players on the field whenever Man City is playing
Timbprsty
3
stone out
AmbitiousD
3
stones out