UCL last 16 draw probabilities: Arsenal could have a tough away trip to Germany

A computer has revealed the draw probabilities for the Champions League last 16, with Arsenal and Manchester City potentially up against some tough opponents in the first round of the knockouts.

There was plenty of drama on Wednesday evening, as the final round of group games took place.

The main drama came from Group F, where both Newcastle and Paris Saint-Germain toiled to qualify for the knockouts.

But after taking the lead in their match against AC Milan, Newcastle would ultimately suffer defeat at St James' Park, with PSG defeating Borussia Dortmund at the Signal Iduna Park, to book their place in the knockouts.

But the Parisians will likely come up against some tough opposition in the round of 16, having finished second in the group behind Dortmund.

In fact, they are being backed by the computer to come up against Man City, with Pep Guardiola's side, who defeated Red Star Belgrade earlier this evening, reportedly having a 14.75 per cent chance of drawing the Ligue 1 champions according to the computer by Reddit user emi_nga.

City also have a 14.75 per cent probability of drawing FC Copenhagen, who advanced out of Group A along with Bayern Munich, while Manchester United and Galatasaray both failing to qualify.

Arsenal, interestingly, who booked their place in the knockouts following their 6-0 win against Lens last week, are most likely to play Leipzig, with the Computer giving them a 20 per cent probability of playing the Bundesliga side.

The Gunners also have a 13.59 per cent chance of drawing PSG and FC Copenhagen according to the computer.

Elsewhere, Serie A leaders, Inter Milan have a high chance of drawing seeded sides Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, while Real Madrid and Barcelona are both being heavily backed to draw Leipzig.

The next round of the tournament is set to take place on February 13, 2024, with the draw for the round of 16 set to take place on Monday, December 18.

The draw will work with the winners of each group being put into a seeded pot. The runners-up in each group will go into a second unseeded pot. They will be drawn against each other with seeded sides playing their first round of 16 leg away first, before returning home for the second match of the tie.