After correctly predicting a 1-0 win for Southampton on Friday, Jones Knows fancies Chelsea and Norwich to record home wins in the 3pm kick-offs.
Brentford vs Norwich, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Has a promoted team ever regressed as much as Norwich? Yes, one springs to mind. That would be Norwich the last time they were promoted.
Daniel Farke's side managed to scrape together 21 points in that Premier League season. Carry on in this manner and Derby's famous lowest points total of 11 could be under threat.
Their rapid drop-off is all the more confusing when you factor in Brentford's ease at adapting to the Premier League. The Bees finished 10 points behind the Canaries last season and failed to beat them over the two fixtures in the Sky Bet Championship, drawing 1-1 and losing 1-0 at Carrow Road.
Yet, Norwich arrive here at 5/1 with Sky Bet to record their first win of the season - it's a price that should really be snapped up if going by last season, but one that's impossible to get involved with on current form.
Bryan Mbeumo hopefully will be fit enough to return to the fold to partner Ivan Toney, who looked like he missed his mate in the defeat to Burnley. I'm still keen on backing opposition centre-backs to pick up bookings against the lively Brentford front two.
Referee Jarred Gillet showed seven cards on his only other Premier League game so I'll back the overly aggressive Ozan Kabak to be carded. Since moving to the Premier League in February, the turbulent Turk has a ratio of being carded every 0.36 games. Only Harry Maguire, Kalvin Phillips, John McGinn and Douglas Luiz have a higher ratio of players to have played a minimum of 1,300 minutes in that time in the Premier League.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
BETTING ANGLE: Ozan Kabak to be carded (23/10 with Sky Bet)
Chelsea vs Burnley, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
The job Thomas Tuchel is doing at Chelsea shouldn't be underestimated. Not many managers could manage a squad full of so much talent and ego whilst also making sure squad players are fully invested in the end goal for the team. Plus, Romelu Lukaku hasn't been available for the last three games but it's made not one bit of difference to the dynamic. And, Tuchel has already won a Champions League.
I still do think Chelsea are overperforming with their outrageous defensive numbers and I'll be trying to exploit that when they face a dangerous attack over the next few weeks. Not in this game though.
Burnley have won just one of their last 14 Premier League fixtures with Chelsea, rolling over tamely in most seasons. During that run, they have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game and faced a whopping 18.5 shots per game. More important games lie ahead for Sean Dyche.
A smart way to increase the skinny odds for a Chelsea victory is to back Chelsea to win and under 3.5 goals. Tuchel likes his teams to remain in control of matches in order to keep the opposition from creating big chances. Just five of their overall 42 fixtures under Tuchel have featured four or more goals and 29 of their 33 wins have seen less than 3.5 goals scored in the match.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
BETTING ANGLE: Chelsea to win and under 3.5 goals (Evens with Sky Bet)
Crystal Palace vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Crystal Palace are a different animal this season. Patrick Vieira has certainly increased the excitement levels around the place with his progressive style of football. But it did make me laugh slightly that they remain 13th in the Premier League. A position they have made their own.
I've got no interest in trying to make a case for either of these two to win as this looks a pure 50-50 game in every aspect. Both will be confident, both will be keen to play at a high tempo. I'll sit on the fence and hope for the draw.
One of the areas Palace have improved significantly under Vieira is their ability to zip the ball through midfield quicker, led by the busy Conor Gallagher. This could be a problem for Wolves in central midfield with Ruben Neves and Joao Moutinho tasked with doing lots of work in that area.
Both players rank in the top 10 of Premier League players this season to be dribbled past by an opponent. Moutinho is a fine technician but at 35-years-old, he is starting to get his timing wrong with his challenges. Saying that, he's only been carded once this season, so we're getting a bigger price at 4/1 with Sky Bet than the true probability when you factor in the opponent. Central midfielders Jordan Henderson, Adam Lallana, Declan Rice, Christian Norgaard and Youri Tielemans have all been booked against Palace this season. Moutinho can follow suit.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Joao Moutinho to be shown a card (4/1 with Sky Bet)
Brighton vs Newcastle, Saturday 5.30pm
So much for a brighter immediate future for Newcastle, eh? The way the club have conducted their business - most of it playing out in the media - has been a shambles. Hiring an experienced director of football to oversee what is likely to be an overhaul of monstrous proportions over the next six months surely was their first major decision to make. Instead, they are making a meal out of securing Eddie Howe as their main man.
Graeme Jones remains in charge this weekend with the club very much in limbo. I was expecting more of a reaction to his methods than the tame showings put on at Crystal Palace and Chelsea. The defence remains leaky and confidence looks drained with Allan Saint-Maximin cutting a frustrated figure in the last two games.
I can see things getting much worse at the Amex in what could be a very one-sided encounter.
Newcastle haven't scored in four games against Graham Potter's Brighton, losing 3-0 in both fixtures last campaign. His team did us proud with their performance at Liverpool last weekend, showing serious bravery on the ball and a clear game-plan. They will be pinning the Toon back for large periods, like Palace did in the 1-1 draw two weeks ago. That should see them rack up the shots and the corner count.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
BETTING ANGLE: Brighton to win, to have 16 or more shots and to win six or more corners (4/1 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Watford, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
Arsenal are 4/11 with Sky Bet for good reason. For those that are looking for a banker in the match result market in the Premier League this weekend, the Gunners are it. Perhaps backing the 6/4 with Sky Bet for an Arsenal win without conceding is the way to go in that regard, as the Aaron Ramsdale, Ben White and Gabriel axis continues to impress. It certainly worked for us last weekend, when we grabbed a bit of 4/1 on an Arsenal win without conceding. Huge thanks to Ramsdale for that.
In seven games, the trio have conceded just four goals with an expected goals against figure of 6.6 backing up their cohesive play.
They have also yet to concede a goal in the first half in those seven matches, going in ahead at the break in five of those encounters with Mikel Arteta demanding the Gunners are at full throttle from the first whistle. Aston Villa and Leicester were both absolutely blown away by Arsenal's pressing which doesn't bode well for Watford, who don't possess much mobility through the spine of their team - as shown against Southampton's energetic press last weekend. It's hard to see how they can compete with a tails-up Arsenal.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
BETTING ANGLE: Arsenal to win to nil (6/4 with Sky Bet)
Leeds vs Leicester, Sunday 2pm
Leicester games are a haven for goals. It stems from their inability to defend as a cohesive unit. Brendan Rodgers' side haven't kept a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League games, conceding exactly two goals in five of their last six matches. A repeat of such sloppiness at Elland Road should make for an entertaining encounter. I'll go with a high-scoring draw.
In a game that is likely to be full of goalscoring opportunities, it seems a simple yet smart idea to back Leeds' biggest goal threat to score. Raphinha has stepped his game up a notch this season, to the extent that he's scored twice and assisted twice for Brazil in his two starts in World Cup qualifying. For Leeds, he has scored four times in nine appearances with his influence growing week-by-week in the absence of Patrick Bamford's goal threat. The 9/4 on him scoring anytime certainly has some juice.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
BETTING ANGLE: Raphinha to score (9/4 with Sky Bet)
Everton vs Tottenham, Sunday 2pm
When you appoint Antonio Conte, one thing is all-but guaranteed. There will be an instant reaction. Short-term, this is a fantastic appointment for Spurs.
Looking at his record in his first game in charge of a league game with a new club, shows he can get a message across quickly. He won all three of his first matches in charge of Juventus, Chelsea and Inter, winning by an aggregate score of 10-2.
Spurs have been all-the-rage in the match market for this one since Conte was announced with 2/1 with Sky Bet now trading closer to 11/8 as the Conte factor is being backed by the shrewd, market-moving, money.
It's a relatively kind first Premier League fixture for Conte, too. Everton's early season zip and counter-attacking brilliance has been replaced by some very stodgy performances that have resulted in three straight defeats. We saw from Thursday's display in Europe that under Conte, Spurs will take more risks in possession and players are encouraged to make more forward runs than we saw under the previous boss. That should result in an upward surge in the amount of chances created and shots on goal they produce.
Everton have conceded on average 12.5 shots per 90 minutes this season, which makes the 11/10 on Tottenham having 13 or more shots very appealing when you factor in the likely change in attacking mentality caused by the managerial change.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
BETTING ANGLE: Tottenham to have 13 or more shots on goal (11/10 with Sky Bet)
West Ham vs Liverpool, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports
This will be a must-watch.
West Ham are on the cusp of becoming a Premier League force to be properly reckoned with.
There is a major hurdle to overcome though: beating a top-four rival.
Since returning for a second spell at the Hammers, David Moyes has taken on Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester United 14 times in the Premier League but has won just once - a 3-2 win over Chelsea in July 2020. More worryingly, 11 of those games ended in defeat.
That probably explains why the Hammers are wildly unfancied in the market for this one, being priced up at 7/2 with Sky Bet for the home win despite taking 20 points from their opening 10 games. Confidence is flowing though and this is without question their best chance of toppling one of the big boys.
The main problem about taking that 7/2 is the opposition - Liverpool are quite simply relentless. It's now 25 games unbeaten for Jurgen Klopp's men, who have scored the most goals (29), had the most shots (199), shots on target (72) and created the most chances (151) in the Premier League. However, Brighton did expose some vulnerability in their backline last weekend and West Ham, who carry a greater threat than the Seagulls, have scored in nine of their 10 Premier League fixtures this season. They possess an attack capable of exploiting gaps in behind which Liverpool will offer up throughout the match.
When you throw all that together, this has all the credentials of being an absolute stonking football match with goals and shots galore.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
BETTING ANGLE: Back over 3.5 goals (6/5 with Sky Bet)