After a draw at Amex Stadium last month, our tipster is backing the Seagulls to secure a place in the FA Cup fifth round when they visit the Hawthorns
West Brom and Brighton meet for an FA Cup fourth round replay on Wednesday night.
The original tie at Amex Stadium ended goalless and, so, the teams have to do it all over again at the Hawthorns.
A home tie against Derby County awaits the winners, but progression in this competition is not the primary priority for either side.
The Baggies are available at 15/8 (2.88) to win and set up an all-Championship clash with the Rams.
The Seagulls have come through four of their last five FA Cup replays. Chris Hughton's charges are a 29/20 (2.45) chance to win inside normal time.
William Hill go 9/4 (3.25) that this tie remains deadlocked at the end of another 90 minutes.
West Brom are pushing for promotion to the Premier League and achieving that aim is clearly Darren Moore's main objective. The Baggies boss made nine changes for the original tie and will utilise a number of fringe players again.
Similarly, Brighton have relied heavily on squad rotation in their two matches in the competition thus far this term.
There have been at least three goals scored in six of West Brom's last seven home matches in this competition and William Hill offer 21/20 (2.05) that there are more than two goals scored when this rivalry is renewed.
It is 4/5 (1.80) that there are goals at both ends and that particular play would have landed in four of the last five FA Cup ties contested at the Hawthorns.
Brighton have won just four matches away from Amex Stadium since the start of 2018 and, remarkably, two of those wins came in this competition.
William Hill go even money (2.0) that the Baggies qualify for the next round at the expense of their top-flight opponents.
Brighton, however, completely dominated the previous meeting and missed numerous chances to win the tie.
If they can be more clinical, the Seagulls could well make their superiority count in Wednesday's replay and it is William Hill's 29/20 (2.45) for Brighton to beat the Baggies at the second time of asking may represent real value for punters.