The 2024 European Championships group stage ends with the top teams progressing, but there are opportunities for the also-rans as well.
The 2024 European Championships got underway in Munich on Friday as host nation Germany played their first competitive game since the 2022 World Cup in Qatar (hosts automatically qualify for the finals). Julian Nagelsmann’s team certainly calmed the nerves of the home fans with an impressive 5-1 demolition of an out-of-sorts Scotland team.
But while the Tartan Army drowns its collective sorrows – just like supporters of other teams that didn’t get off to the best of starts – they will be mindful that it is not just the top two in each group that progresses.
UEFA Euro 2024: how many qualify from group stage?
This is how the groups were arranged:
As you can see, there are six groups of four and the top two from each will be guaranteed to progress to the round of 16. But there are a further four places available and these will go to the best third-placed nations. But how is that decided?
UEFA Euro 2024: what if teams finish group stage on same points?
As per the normal rules, a win in the group stage is worth three points, a tie gets a single point and there is nothing for a loss. Once all the games have been competed, the places in the table are known, but clearly there is a very good chance that teams could have the same number of points. So here’s how UEFA will determine the order:
As you’ll note, the most likely factor to keep in mind is that head-to-head results come before goal difference.
UEFA Euro 2024: how are third-placed teams ranked?
Across the six groups, the third-placed teams (determined from the above rules) will be transferred into a separate virtual table to decide which four progress to the knockout stage. As those teams have not faced each other, the order of their ranking will be based on the following:
UEFA Euro 2024: how is the round of 16 bracket formed?
Once the 16 teams have been confirmed as per the above guidance, the teams will face off against each other based on the agreed UEFA structure. Due to the third-placed teams getting in, there are a lot of permutations that we will have a better idea of once the group stage is nearing its conclusion. To give some idea of how teams could meet, let’s look at some of the options for the group winnners:
As can be seen from this, four of the group winners will have an initial game against a third-placed team. The other fixtures in the round of 16 see the group runners-up meet each other. It’s worth noting that the winners of Groups C and F (expected to be England and Portugal respectively) will not face another group winner till at least the semi-finals. Lucky them!