On July 11th, after all the World Cup quarter-finals concluded, England and Argentina claiming the final two semi-final spots after extra time.
After the match, the data agency updated the latest probabilities for reaching the World Cup final and winning the title.
Probability of reaching the final:
France 57.44%
England 51.27%
Argentina 48.73%
Spain 42.56%
Championship probability:
France 33.81%
Spain 24.16%
England 21.97%
Argentina 20.06%